Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Is Trump on the Verge of His Biggest Victory Yet?


 
First Read is a morning briefing from Meet the Press and the NBC Political Unit on the day's most important political stories and why they matter.
 
Is Trump on the Verge of his Biggest Victory Yet?

Three days to go until Saturday's Republican primary in South Carolina, and all of the polling out there suggests that Donald Trump is in clear command of the race. The latest poll via CNN: Trump 38%, Ted Cruz 22%, Marco Rubio 14%, Jeb Bush 10%. And if Trump pulls it off -- remember, the polling was right in New Hampshire, but off in Iowa -- it would be his biggest victory yet.

For starters, South Carolina isn't New Hampshire: 65% of Republican voters in the Palmetto State are evangelical Christians, per the 2012 exit polls, versus the 25% we saw in New Hampshire. Also, while only 55% of GOP voters in the Granite State considered themselves to be Republicans (due to the state's heavy presence of independent voters), it was 71% in South Carolina four years ago. 

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Source: NBC News

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